Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.115208 0.127690 0.140528 0.154691 0.169846 0.185548 0.203018
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.095774 0.114526 0.134824 0.158296 0.184555 0.212897 0.245667
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.085548 0.109170 0.135862 0.167927 0.205073 0.246430 0.295629
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.077679 0.104998 0.137038 0.176790 0.224177 0.278270 0.344076
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.067803 0.096979 0.132452 0.177818 0.233342 0.298162 0.378596
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.057826 0.087577 0.125071 0.174453 0.236421 0.310293 0.403639
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.053507 0.084910 0.125646 0.180553 0.250795 0.335871 0.444846
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049073 0.081552 0.124884 0.184596 0.262382 0.357992 0.481996
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044673 0.077747 0.123117 0.186990 0.271645 0.377150 0.515588
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.040316 0.073543 0.120410 0.187797 0.278620 0.393325 0.545505
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.040184 0.075564 0.126368 0.200389 0.301199 0.429564 0.601019
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037217 0.072945 0.125497 0.203430 0.311032 0.449518 0.636114
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034333 0.070403 0.124850 0.207118 0.322347 0.472297 0.676160
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030833 0.066554 0.122060 0.207668 0.329453 0.489827 0.709955
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029967 0.067041 0.125809 0.217720 0.349841 0.525199 0.767415
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029147 0.067504 0.129483 0.227699 0.370269 0.560888 0.825723
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026471 0.064359 0.127225 0.228656 0.377846 0.579287 0.861340
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023054 0.059454 0.121792 0.224515 0.377928 0.587414 0.883334
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022110 0.059151 0.123828 0.231770 0.394450 0.618074 0.935611
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.020802 0.057985 0.124321 0.236583 0.407450 0.644020 0.981814
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.019271 0.056195 0.123620 0.239432 0.417553 0.666031 1.022899
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017577 0.053861 0.121810 0.240393 0.424797 0.684084 1.058748
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018101 0.056374 0.128637 0.255392 0.453199 0.732030 1.135709